Abstract:
The Senegalese agricultural sector shows low production level over the last decades. This study
assesses the impact of climate change on crop production and price levels in Senegal and also
tests policies instruments through a national static computable general equilibrium (CGE)
model. Our main results show that the local impacts of climate change (through declining yields)
are likely to affect Senegal beyond the agricultural sector and farmers. The overall effects of
global climate change (through higher agricultural products prices) are also negative, but some
farmers can reap the benefit of higher prices. The results show also after testing different
policies instruments in the worst climate scenario for Senegal that decreasing the rice import
tariff by 20% and subsidizing fertilizers are the most suitable policies instrument that can help to
mitigate the negative effects that climate change has on agricultural food markets in Senegal. A
global action plan to evaluate and improve policy instruments, can mitigate the negative effects
of climate change and enhance the overall resilience of the farming system.
Description:
A Thesis submitted to the West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use and Université Cheikh Anta Diop, Dakar in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Climate Change and Economics
